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Aurenex

Manufacturing · Manufacturing

Scenario modelling that protected a launch supply chain

Simulating supply disruption ahead of launch and pre-positioning inventory against the highest-risk paths.

The challenge

A single-source intermediate created concentrated risk ahead of a launch with no tolerance for stock-out.

What we did

  1. 01Modelled the full bill of materials with lead-time variability
  2. 02Simulated disruption scenarios across suppliers and lanes
  3. 03Quantified inventory buffers against each scenario
  4. 04Established a monitoring loop on leading disruption indicators

Results

Scenarios modelled
1,400
Buffer cost avoided
$6.2M
Launch stock-outs
0

Client: Specialty manufacturer

Next step

Bring a real problem. We will bring the architecture.

Thirty minutes with our architects is usually enough to tell whether a programme is ready for agents, or whether the data foundation needs work first.

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See the work